The Tampa Bay Lightning (46-22-6), coming off a 4-1 loss to the Montreal Canadiens, host the Pittsburgh Penguins (38-21-16) at Benchmark International Arena on Thursday, April 2 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Penguins defeated the Detroit Red Wings 5-1 in their most recent outing.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here's our pick for which club will secure the win in Thursday's hockey action.

In the last 10 contests, the Penguins have recorded a 6-3-1 record after putting up 42 total goals (six power-play goals on 31 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 19.4%). Their opponents have scored a combined 35 goals in those games.

Lightning vs. Penguins Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this matchup expects a final score of Lightning 4, Penguins 2.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-172)
Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.1 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Pick Em

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning are 46-22-6 overall and 9-6-15 in overtime contests.
In the 22 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 9-9-4 record (good for 22 points).
Looking at the eight times this season the Lightning finished a game with just one goal, they have a 2-5-1 record, good for five points.
Tampa Bay has finished 4-8-3 in the 15 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering 11 points).
The Lightning have scored three or more goals in 49 games (40-7-2, 82 points).
In the 26 games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it picked up 35 points after finishing 16-7-3.
In the 41 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 24-12-5 (53 points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 31 times, and went 20-10-1 (41 points).

Penguins Splits and Trends

The Penguins have a 7-16-23 record in overtime games this season and a 38-21-16 overall record.
Pittsburgh has earned 24 points (9-7-6) in its 22 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
Across the eight games this season the Penguins ended with only one goal, they have earned three points.
When Pittsburgh has scored exactly two goals this season, they've earned four points (0-7-4 record).
The Penguins have scored three or more goals in 52 games, earning 85 points from those contests.
This season, Pittsburgh has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 27 games and registered 33 points with a record of 13-7-7.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Pittsburgh is 19-14-9 (47 points).
The Penguins have been outshot by opponents in 28 games, going 14-7-7 to register 35 points.

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