Photo: Todd Kirkland / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Miami Heat (0-4) are 1.5-point underdogs as they look to turn around a four-game losing streak when they visit the Atlanta Hawks (2-2) on Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at State Farm Arena. The game airs at 7 p.m. ET on .
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Heat vs. Hawks Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer projections model for this encounter calls for a final tally of Hawks 130, Heat 102.
- Moneyline Pick: Hawks (-132)
- Total Pick: Under 241.5 (computer predicts 231.8 points)
- Pick ATS: Hawks (-1.5)
Recent Heat vs. Hawks Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/12/2026 | Heat | -10.5 | 240.5 | -476 | +363 | 143-117 MIA |
| 2/20/2026 | Heat | -3.5 | 244.5 | -149 | +124 | 128-97 MIA |
| 2/3/2026 | Heat | -1.5 | 236.5 | -116 | -103 | 127-115 ATL |
| 12/26/2025 | Hawks | -3.5 | 250.5 | -157 | +133 | 126-111 MIA |
Hawks 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Atlanta's record against the spread last year was 44-38-0.
- Against the spread, as 1.5-point favorites or greater, the Hawks went 23-19 last season.
- There were 40 Atlanta games (out of 82) that hit the over last season.
- The Hawks won 29 of the 43 games they were favored on the moneyline last season (67.4%).
- In games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -132 or shorter last year, Atlanta finished with a record of 28-9 (75.7%).
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami won 46 games against the spread last year, while failing to cover or pushing 36 times.
- The Heat's ATS record as underdogs of 1.5 points or more was 22-17-1 last year.
- In Miami's games last year, the combined scoring went over the point total 46 times.
- Last season, the Heat won 18 out of the 42 games, or 42.9%, in which they were the underdog.
- Last season, Miami won 14 of its 37 games, or 37.8%, when it was the underdog by at least +111 on the moneyline.
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Heat vs. Hawks Injury Report
Hawks
Hawks:
Mouhamed Gueye: Out (Foot),
Aaron Wiggins: Questionable (Knee),
Henri Veesaar: Out For Season (Acl)
Heat
Heat:
Simone Fontecchio: Out (Illness)
Heat vs. Hawks Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
- Game time: 7 p.m. ET
- TV channel:
- Location: Atlanta, Georgia
- Arena: State Farm Arena
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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