The Tampa Bay Lightning (22-13-3) take a four-game win streak into a road matchup with the Anaheim Ducks (21-16-2), who have lost three straight, on Wednesday, Dec. 31 at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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Here is our prediction for who will clinch the win in Wednesday's game.
Over the last 10 games for the Ducks, their offense has totaled 26 goals while their defense has allowed 40 (they have a 3-6-1 record in those games). In 25 power-play opportunities during that time, they have scored two goals (8.0% conversion rate).
Lightning vs. Ducks Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer projections model for this contest expects a final score of Ducks 4, Lightning 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Ducks (+119)
- Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
- Spread Pick: Ducks (+1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning have a 22-13-3 record overall, with a 4-3-7 record in games that have required overtime.
- Tampa Bay is 6-7-2 (14 points) in its 15 games decided by one goal.
- In the three games this season the Lightning scored just one goal, they finished 0-2-1.
- Tampa Bay has scored a pair of goals in 10 games this season (3-5-2 record, eight points).
- The Lightning have scored at least three goals in 23 games (19-4-0, 38 points).
- In the 12 games when Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 7-3-2 to register 16 points.
- When it has outshot opponents, Tampa Bay is 6-9-2 (14 points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 20 times, and went 15-4-1 (31 points).
Ducks Splits and Trends
- The Ducks have a record of 21-16-2 this season and are 8-2-10 in overtime matchups.
- Anaheim has earned 16 points (7-4-2) in its 13 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
- This season the Ducks scored just one goal in seven games and they finished 0-6-1 in those matchups.
- Anaheim has two points (1-2-0) in three games this season when it has scored two goals.
- The Ducks have earned 41 points in their 27 games with at least three goals scored.
- This season, Anaheim has recorded a lone power-play goal in nine games has a record of 6-2-1 in those matchups.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Anaheim is 11-7-1 (23 points).
- The Ducks' opponents have had more shots in 17 games. The Ducks went 10-6-1 in those contests (21 points).
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Ducks AVG | Ducks Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5th | 3.29 | Goals Scored | 3.33 | 4th |
| 5th | 2.63 | Goals Allowed | 3.51 | 32nd |
| 20th | 27.4 | Shots | 31.0 | 3rd |
| 7th | 26.7 | Shots Allowed | 28.4 | 20th |
| 25th | 16.26% | Power Play % | 16.67% | 23rd |
| 2nd | 85.27% | Penalty Kill % | 75.78% | 27th |
Lightning vs. Ducks Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Wednesday, December 31, 2025 at 4 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Honda Center in Anaheim, California
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