Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - Dec. 8

The Tampa Bay Lightning (16-10-2) go on the road to play the Toronto Maple Leafs (13-11-4) at Scotiabank Arena on Monday, Dec. 8 at 7:30 p.m. ET on NHL Network. The Lightning have lost three straight games.

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Prepare for this matchup with a glimpse at who we predict will come out on top in Monday's game.

In the last 10 contests, the Maple Leafs have put up a 5-3-2 record after scoring 30 total goals (two power-play goals on 24 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 8.3%). Their opponents have scored a combined 21 goals in those games.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Monday

Our computer model for this contest expects a final result of Maple Leafs 4, Lightning 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (+109)
• Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning have a 16-10-2 record overall, with a 3-2-5 record in matchups that have gone to overtime.
• In the 14 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 6-6-2 record (good for 14 points).
• In the two games this season the Lightning recorded just one goal, they finished 0-1-1.
• Tampa Bay has finished 3-4-1 in the eight games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering seven points).
• The Lightning have scored at least three goals 17 times, and are 13-4-0 in those games (to register 26 points).
• In the nine games when Tampa Bay has recorded a lone power-play goal, it picked up 13 points after finishing 6-2-1.
• In the 12 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 5-6-1 (11 points).
• The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 16 games. The Lightning went 11-4-1 in those matchups (23 points).

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

• The Maple Leafs have earned a record of 4-4-8 in overtime contests as part of an overall mark of 13-11-4.
• Toronto has earned 15 points (6-3-3) in its 12 games decided by one goal.
• This season the Maple Leafs recorded just one goal in one game and they lost in overtime.
• When Toronto has scored a pair of goals this season, they've earned five points (2-5-1 record).
• The Maple Leafs have scored more than two goals 19 times, earning 24 points from those matchups (11-6-2).
• This season, Toronto has scored a single power-play goal in eight games and registered seven points with a record of 3-4-1.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Toronto is 2-5-1 (five points).
• The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents in 19 games, going 10-6-3 to record 23 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Monday, December 8, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: NHL Network
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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