The Tampa Bay Lightning (16-8-2) will try to continue a four-game home win streak when they play the Pittsburgh Penguins (13-7-5) on Thursday, Dec. 4 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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Ahead of watching this matchup, here's our pick for which club will take home the victory in Thursday's hockey action.
Over the last 10 games, the Penguins are 4-3-3 while putting up 25 goals against 27 goals conceded. On 21 power-play opportunities during that span, they have scored six goals (28.6%).
Lightning vs. Penguins Predictions for Thursday
Our computer projections model for this game calls for a final tally of Lightning 4, Penguins 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-209)
- Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
- Spread Pick: Penguins (+1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning have finished 3-2-5 in overtime matchups on their way to an overall record of 16-8-2.
- Tampa Bay has 14 points (6-5-2) in the 13 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
- In the two games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they finished 0-1-1.
- Tampa Bay has finished 3-4-1 in the eight games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering seven points).
- The Lightning are 13-3-0 in the 16 games when they have scored more than two goals (to register 26 points).
- In the eight games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it went 6-1-1 to register 13 points.
- When it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 5-4-1 (11 points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 16 games, going 11-4-1 to register 23 points.
Penguins Splits and Trends
- The Penguins have posted a record of 1-5-6 in overtime matchups as part of an overall mark of 13-7-5.
- Pittsburgh has earned six points (2-3-2) in its seven games that finished with a one-goal margin.
- This season the Penguins scored only one goal in three games and they've earned two points (0-1-2) in those contests.
- Pittsburgh has two points (0-3-2) in five games this season when it has scored a pair of goals.
- The Penguins have earned 27 points in their 16 games with at least three goals scored.
- This season, Pittsburgh has capitalized on a single power-play goal in eight games has a record of 2-4-2 in those matchups.
- When it outshoots its opponent this season, Pittsburgh has posted a record of 4-4-2 (10 points).
- The Penguins' opponents have had more shots in 14 games. The Penguins finished 8-3-3 in those matchups (19 points).
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Penguins AVG | Penguins Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8th | 3.27 | Goals Scored | 3.16 | 10th |
| 4th | 2.58 | Goals Allowed | 2.72 | 9th |
| 21st | 26.5 | Shots | 26.9 | 20th |
| 13th | 27.3 | Shots Allowed | 28.4 | 19th |
| 27th | 15.00% | Power Play % | 33.33% | 1st |
| 1st | 89.16% | Penalty Kill % | 84.93% | 4th |
Lightning vs. Penguins Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Thursday, December 4, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida
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