Two streaking clubs square off when the Tampa Bay Lightning (13-7-2) host the Calgary Flames (8-13-3) at Benchmark International Arena on Wednesday at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Lightning have won four in a row, and the Flames are on a three-game winning streak.
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Here's our pick for who will capture the win in Wednesday's matchup.
Over the last 10 outings for the Flames, their offense has scored 27 goals while their defense has allowed 22 (they have a 5-4-1 record in those games). In 30 power-play opportunities during that time, they have capitalized with four goals (13.3% success rate).
Lightning vs. Flames Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer projection model for this game predicts a final tally of Lightning 4, Flames 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-187)
- Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.7 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning have finished 3-2-5 in overtime games as part of an overall record of 13-7-2.
- Tampa Bay is 6-4-2 (14 points) in its 12 games decided by one goal.
- In the one game this season the Lightning recorded only one goal, they lost in overtime.
- Tampa Bay has taken seven points from the eight games this season when it scored a pair of goals (3-4-1 record).
- The Lightning have scored three or more goals 13 times, and are 10-3-0 in those games (to register 20 points).
- In the seven games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it went 5-1-1 to register 11 points.
- In the eight games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 4-3-1 (nine points).
- The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 14 games. The Lightning went 9-4-1 in those contests (19 points).
Flames Splits and Trends
- The Flames have a record of 8-13-3 this season and are 2-3-5 in overtime matchups.
- Calgary has earned three points (1-3-1) in its five games that finished with a one-goal margin.
- This season the Flames scored just one goal in five games and they finished 0-4-1 in those matchups.
- Calgary has earned six points (3-5-0 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
- The Flames have scored more than two goals nine times, earning 12 points from those matchups (5-2-2).
- Calgary has scored a lone power-play goal in seven games this season and has recorded three points from those matchups.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Calgary is 4-7-2 (10 points).
- The Flames have been outshot by opponents in 11 games, going 4-6-1 to record nine points.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Flames AVG | Flames Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9th | 3.14 | Goals Scored | 2.38 | 31st |
| 7th | 2.73 | Goals Allowed | 2.96 | 16th |
| 24th | 26.1 | Shots | 29.5 | 8th |
| 14th | 27.5 | Shots Allowed | 28.6 | 22nd |
| 24th | 15.71% | Power Play % | 13.41% | 31st |
| 2nd | 87.5% | Penalty Kill % | 80.25% | 17th |
Lightning vs. Flames Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Wednesday, November 26, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida
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