The Washington Capitals (11-8-2) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (11-7-2) at Capital One Arena on Saturday, Nov. 22 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Capitals have won three straight games.
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Prepare for this showdown with a glimpse at who we predict will emerge with the victory in Saturday's game.
Over the last 10 contests, the Lightning have registered a 7-3-0 record after scoring 32 total goals (five power-play goals on 30 power-play opportunities during that span, for a success rate of 16.7%). Their opponents have scored a combined 25 goals in those games.
Capitals vs. Lightning Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projections model for this encounter calls for a final result of Capitals 4, Lightning 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Capitals (-118)
- Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 5.9 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)
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Capitals Splits and Trends
- The Capitals have finished 1-2-3 in overtime matchups as part of an overall record of 11-8-2.
- In the six games Washington has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 3-3-0 record (good for six points).
- In the four games this season the Capitals scored only one goal, they've finished 1-3-0 (two points).
- Washington has scored two goals in three games this season (1-1-1 record, three points).
- The Capitals have scored at least three goals 13 times, and are 9-3-1 in those games (to record 19 points).
- In the six games when Washington has recorded a lone power-play goal, it has a 5-1-0 record (10 points).
- In the 11 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Washington is 5-5-1 (11 points).
- The Capitals have been outshot by opponents in seven games, going 6-1-0 to record 12 points.
Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning have earned a record of 3-2-5 in overtime contests as part of an overall mark of 11-7-2.
- Tampa Bay has earned 14 points (6-4-2) in its 12 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
- This season the Lightning recorded just one goal in one game and they lost in overtime.
- Tampa Bay has seven points (3-4-1) when scoring two goals this season.
- The Lightning have scored at least three goals 11 times, earning 16 points from those matchups (8-3-0).
- Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal in six games this season and has recorded nine points from those matchups.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Tampa Bay is 4-3-1 (nine points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 12 times this season, and earned 15 points in those games.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Capitals Rank | Capitals AVG | Lightning AVG | Lightning Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11th | 3.24 | Goals Scored | 3.05 | 15th |
| 4th | 2.62 | Goals Allowed | 2.85 | 12th |
| 6th | 29.6 | Shots | 27.0 | 21st |
| 11th | 26.5 | Shots Allowed | 27.6 | 15th |
| 24th | 16.13% | Power Play % | 15.38% | 26th |
| 29th | 72.06% | Penalty Kill % | 86.15% | 3rd |
Capitals vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.
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