Photo: Steve Marcus / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Tampa Bay Lightning (2-4-2) host the Vegas Golden Knights (5-1-2) at Benchmark International Arena on Sunday, Oct. 26 at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Lightning knocked off the Anaheim Ducks 4-3 in their most recent outing, while the Golden Knights are coming off a 3-0 loss to the Florida Panthers.
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Prepare for this matchup by checking out our pick for who will come out on top in Sunday's hockey action.
Lightning vs. Golden Knights Predictions for Sunday
Our computer projections model for this matchup calls for a final result of Lightning 4, Golden Knights 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-142)
- Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
- Spread Pick: Golden Knights (+1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning have gone -2-2 in overtime matchups on their way to an overall record of 2-4-2.
- In the seven games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 2-3-2 record (good for six points).
- In the one game this season the Lightning recorded only one goal, they lost in overtime.
- Tampa Bay finished 0-2-1 in the three games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering one point).
- The Lightning are 2-2-0 in the four games when they have scored three or more goals (to register four points).
- In the three games when Tampa Bay has recorded a lone power-play goal, it registered three points after finishing 1-1-1.
- In games when it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 0-1-1 (one point).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents six times, and went 2-3-1 (five points).
Golden Knights Splits and Trends
- The Golden Knights have a 1-2-3 record in overtime matchups this season and a 5-1-2 overall record.
- Vegas has earned five points (2-0-1) in its three games that finished with a one-goal margin.
- This season the Golden Knights scored only one goal in one game and they lost in overtime.
- The Golden Knights have earned 11 points in their six games with more than two goals scored.
- This season, Vegas has scored a single power-play goal in two games has a record of 1-0-1 in those matchups.
- When it outshoots its opponent this season, Vegas has posted a record of 4-0-2 (10 points).
- The Golden Knights have been outshot by opponents twice, earning a total of two points across those games.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Golden Knights AVG | Golden Knights Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25th | 2.75 | Goals Scored | 3.75 | 3rd |
| 22nd | 3.38 | Goals Allowed | 2.75 | 11th |
| 25th | 25.5 | Shots | 28.9 | 14th |
| 28th | 31.4 | Shots Allowed | 25.5 | 6th |
| 20th | 19.23% | Power Play % | 30% | 5th |
| 5th | 89.29% | Penalty Kill % | 77.27% | 17th |
Lightning vs. Golden Knights Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 5 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida
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