Lightning vs. Red Wings Prediction & Picks - Oct. 17

Toronto Maple Leafs v Detroit Red Wings

Photo: Nic Antaya / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Tampa Bay Lightning (1-2-1) go on the road against the Detroit Red Wings (3-1, winners of three in a row) at Little Caesars Arena. The contest on Friday, Oct. 17 begins at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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As hockey action continues, prepare for the matchup by checking out which team we predict will pick up the victory in Friday's game.

Lightning vs. Red Wings Predictions for Friday

Our computer projection model for this matchup predicts a final score of Red Wings 5, Lightning 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Red Wings (+130)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.8 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Red Wings (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning had a 47-27-8 record overall, with a 6-8-14 record in matchups that required overtime, last season.
  • In the 22 games Tampa Bay played that were decided by one goal, it had an 8-9-5 record (good for 21 points).
  • In the nine games last season the Lightning registered only one goal, they finished 0-8-1.
  • Tampa Bay took seven points from the 16 games last season when it scored exactly two goals (2-11-3 record).
  • The Lightning scored three or more goals in 58 games (46-8-4, 96 points).
  • In the 33 games when Tampa Bay recorded a single power-play goal, it had a 22-10-1 record (45 points).
  • When it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay was 25-18-0 (50 points).
  • The Lightning's opponent had more shots in 40 games last season. The Lightning went 22-10-8 in those contests (52 points).

Red Wings Splits and Trends

  • The Red Wings had a record of 39-35-8 last season and were 9-8-17 in overtime contests.
  • Detroit picked up 34 points (13-8-8) in its 29 games decided by one goal.
  • Across the 18 games last season the Red Wings ended up with just one goal, they picked up four points.
  • Detroit picked up 16 points (7-8-2 record) last season when scoring two goals .
  • The Red Wings picked up 66 points in their 45 games when they scored three or more goals.
  • Last season Detroit recorded a single power-play goal in 26 games, posting a record of 10-13-3.
  • When outshooting its opponent last season, Detroit was 18-16-2 (38 points).
  • The Red Wings were outshot by their opponents in 43 games last season, going 18-19-6 to register 42 points.

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Team Stats Comparison (2024-25)

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Red Wings AVG Red Wings Rank
1st 3.56 Goals Scored 2.87 22nd
4th 2.63 Goals Allowed 3.16 21st
12th 28.5 Shots 27.4 24th
14th 28.1 Shots Allowed 28.5 15th
5th 25.86% Power Play % 27.43% 4th
6th 81.55% Penalty Kill % 70.27% 32nd

Lightning vs. Red Wings Game Time and TV Channel

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