Wednesday will see the Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers square off in Game 5 of the NHL Playoffs First Round at Amalie Arena, beginning at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2. The Panthers are ahead in the series 3-1. The Panthers are underdogs (-101) against the Lightning (-118).
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Ahead of watching this matchup, here is a peek at which squad we think will come out on top in Wednesday's NHL Playoffs First Round action.
Lightning vs. Panthers Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer model for this game predicts a final result of Lightning 4, Panthers 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-118)
- Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.0 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning are 6-8-14 in overtime games on their way to a 47-27-8 overall record.
- Tampa Bay has 21 points (8-9-5) in the 22 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
- In the nine games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they finished 0-8-1.
- Tampa Bay has taken seven points from the 16 games this season when it scored two goals (2-11-3 record).
- The Lightning are 46-7-4 in the 57 games when they have scored more than two goals (to register 96 points).
- In the 32 games when Tampa Bay has recorded a lone power-play goal, it registered 45 points after finishing 22-9-1.
- In the 43 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 25-18-0 (50 points).
- The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 39 games. The Lightning finished 22-9-8 in those contests (52 points).
Panthers Splits and Trends
- The Panthers have a 47-31-4 record this season and are 10-4-14 in games that have gone to overtime.
- Florida has earned 26 points (11-6-4) in its 21 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
- Across the 17 games this season the Panthers finished with just one goal, they have earned six points.
- Florida has 14 points (6-7-2) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
- The Panthers have scored more than two goals in 49 games, earning 84 points from those contests.
- This season, Florida has scored a lone power-play goal in 37 games has a record of 24-9-4 in those matchups.
- When it outshoots its opponent this season, Florida has posted a record of 33-21-3 (69 points).
- The Panthers have been outshot by opponents 21 times this season, and earned 23 points in those games.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Panthers AVG | Panthers Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3.56 | Goals Scored | 3 | 15th |
| 4th | 2.63 | Goals Allowed | 2.72 | 7th |
| 12th | 28.5 | Shots | 31.5 | 3rd |
| 14th | 28.1 | Shots Allowed | 26.2 | 5th |
| 5th | 25.86% | Power Play % | 23.83% | 11th |
| 6th | 81.55% | Penalty Kill % | 80.42% | 10th |
Lightning vs. Panthers Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Wednesday, April 30, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN2
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida
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