The Florida Panthers host the Tampa Bay Lightning in Game 3 of the NHL Playoffs First Round at Amerant Bank Arena on Saturday, April 26, beginning at 1 p.m. ET on TBS. The Panthers are up 2-0 in the series. The Lightning are underdogs (+118) against the Panthers (-139).
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Before watching this matchup, here is our pick for which squad will bring home the win in Saturday's NHL Playoffs First Round action.
Panthers vs. Lightning Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projections model for this game expects a final tally of Panthers 4, Lightning 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Panthers (-139)
- Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.0 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)
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Panthers Splits and Trends
- The Panthers are 47-31-4 overall and 10-4-14 in overtime matchups.
- Florida has 26 points (11-6-4) in the 21 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
- In the 16 games this season the Panthers recorded just one goal, they went 3-13-0 (six points).
- Florida has finished 6-7-2 in the 15 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering 14 points).
- The Panthers are 40-6-2 in the 48 games when they have scored more than two goals (to record 82 points).
- In the 37 games when Florida has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it has a 24-9-4 record (52 points).
- In the 55 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Florida is 32-20-3 (67 points).
- The Panthers have been outshot by opponents 21 times, and went 11-9-1 (23 points).
Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning have a record of 47-27-8 this season and are 6-8-14 in overtime games.
- In the 22 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 21 points.
- This season the Lightning registered just one goal in nine games and they finished 0-8-1 in those matchups.
- Tampa Bay has seven points (2-10-3) when scoring two goals this season.
- The Lightning have scored at least three goals 56 times, earning 94 points from those matchups (45-7-4).
- This season, Tampa Bay has recorded a single power-play goal in 32 games has a record of 22-9-1 in those matchups.
- When it outshoots its opponent this season, Tampa Bay has posted a record of 25-18-0 (50 points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 37 games, going 21-8-8 to register 50 points.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Panthers Rank | Panthers AVG | Lightning AVG | Lightning Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15th | 3 | Goals Scored | 3.56 | 1st |
| 7th | 2.72 | Goals Allowed | 2.63 | 4th |
| 3rd | 31.5 | Shots | 28.5 | 12th |
| 5th | 26.2 | Shots Allowed | 28.1 | 14th |
| 11th | 23.83% | Power Play % | 25.86% | 5th |
| 10th | 80.42% | Penalty Kill % | 81.55% | 6th |
Panthers vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Saturday, April 26, 2025 at 1 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: TBS
- Live Stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida
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