The Tampa Bay Lightning (44-25-5, riding a four-game winning streak) go on the road against the Ottawa Senators (39-29-6) at Canadian Tire Centre. The matchup on Thursday, April 3 begins at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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Before watching this matchup, here's a glimpse at which team we think will come out on top in Thursday's action on the ice.
Over the last 10 contests, the Senators have gone 5-4-1 while scoring 28 total goals (six power-play goals on 24 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 25.0%). They have given up 29 goals.
Lightning vs. Senators Predictions for Thursday
Our computer projections model for this encounter calls for a final tally of Lightning 4, Senators 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-143)
- Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Senators (+1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning are 6-5-11 in overtime matchups as part of a 44-25-5 overall record.
- Tampa Bay has 19 points (8-8-3) in the 19 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
- In the eight games this season the Lightning registered only one goal, they finished 0-7-1.
- Tampa Bay has scored a pair of goals in 13 games this season (2-9-2 record, six points).
- The Lightning have scored more than two goals in 51 games (42-7-2, 86 points).
- In the 29 games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it has a 20-8-1 record (41 points).
- When it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 23-15-0 (46 points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 32 games, going 20-7-5 to register 45 points.
Senators Splits and Trends
- The Senators have a 9-6-15 record in overtime games this season and a 39-29-6 overall record.
- Ottawa has earned 42 points (19-6-4) in its 29 games decided by one goal.
- This season the Senators recorded just one goal in nine games and they lost every time.
- When Ottawa has scored exactly two goals this season, they've earned 11 points (5-10-1 record).
- The Senators have earned 71 points in their 42 games with more than two goals scored.
- Ottawa has scored a single power-play goal in 23 games this season and has registered 26 points from those matchups.
- When it outshoots its opponent this season, Ottawa has posted a record of 20-13-1 (41 points).
- The Senators' opponents have had more shots in 37 games. The Senators went 18-15-4 in those matchups (40 points).
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Senators AVG | Senators Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd | 3.59 | Goals Scored | 2.86 | 20th |
| 4th | 2.62 | Goals Allowed | 2.86 | 13th |
| 11th | 28.7 | Shots | 29.3 | 6th |
| 14th | 28.1 | Shots Allowed | 28.5 | 16th |
| 6th | 25.48% | Power Play % | 23.21% | 12th |
| 4th | 82.35% | Penalty Kill % | 77.25% | 20th |
Lightning vs. Senators Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Thursday, April 3, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario
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