Lightning vs. Bruins Prediction & Picks - March 8

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The Tampa Bay Lightning (37-21-4), winners of seven home games in a row, host the Boston Bruins (28-28-8) at Amalie Arena on Saturday at 3 p.m. ET on ABC.

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Before watching this matchup, here's a glimpse at which squad we predict will emerge with the victory in Saturday's action on the ice.

The Bruins' offense has totaled 23 goals over their past 10 outings, while their defense has given up 28 goals. They have recorded 28 power-play opportunities during that time, and have scored four goals (14.3%). They are 2-6-2 over those contests.

Lightning vs. Bruins Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projections model for this contest calls for a final score of Lightning 4, Bruins 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-302)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning (37-21-4 overall) have a 5-4-9 record in games that have required overtime.
  • In the 19 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 8-8-3 record (good for 19 points).
  • In the seven games this season the Lightning scored just one goal, they finished 0-6-1.
  • Tampa Bay finished 0-8-2 in the 10 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering two points).
  • The Lightning have scored more than two goals in 44 games (37-6-1, 75 points).
  • In the 23 games when Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal, it went 17-6-0 to register 34 points.
  • In the 31 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 19-12-0 (38 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 27 games, going 17-6-4 to record 38 points.

Bruins Splits and Trends

  • The Bruins (28-28-8 overall) have posted a record of 7-8-15 in matchups that have required OT this season.
  • Boston has earned 29 points (11-8-7) in its 26 games decided by one goal.
  • In 11 games this season when the Bruins ended a game with only one goal, they earned a total of three points (1-9-1).
  • When Boston has scored exactly two goals this season, they've earned 12 points (4-8-4 record).
  • The Bruins have scored more than two goals 31 times, earning 49 points from those matchups (23-5-3).
  • This season, Boston has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 21 games has a record of 12-7-2 in those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Boston is 17-11-2 (36 points).
  • The Bruins have been outshot by opponents 28 times this season, and earned 21 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Bruins AVG Bruins Rank
1st 3.6 Goals Scored 2.69 28th
5th 2.65 Goals Allowed 3.17 22nd
10th 28.9 Shots 27.5 22nd
18th 28.7 Shots Allowed 28.5 17th
6th 26.4% Power Play % 15.03% 29th
11th 80.89% Penalty Kill % 76.26% 22nd

Lightning vs. Bruins Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Saturday, March 8, 2025 at 3 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida

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