The Washington Capitals (38-13-8) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (34-20-4), who have won seven straight, on Saturday, March 1 at 12:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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Ahead of this matchup, here's who we project to bring home the win in Saturday's hockey game.
The Lightning have recorded an 8-1-1 record in their past 10 games. They have scored 37 goals while giving up 18 in that time. On the power play, 22 opportunities have resulted in five goals (22.7% success rate).
Capitals vs. Lightning Predictions for Saturday
Our computer model for this contest expects a final tally of Capitals 4, Lightning 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Capitals (-110)
- Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)
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Capitals Splits and Trends
- The Capitals are 5-8-13 in overtime contests on their way to a 38-13-8 overall record.
- Washington has 27 points (11-4-5) in the 20 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
- Looking at the seven times this season the Capitals ended a game with only one goal, they have a 1-5-1 record, good for three points.
- Washington has finished 2-6-1 in the nine games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering five points).
- The Capitals are 35-1-6 in the 42 games when they have scored more than two goals (to record 76 points).
- In the 23 games when Washington has recorded a lone power-play goal, it went 15-5-3 to register 33 points.
- In the 30 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Washington is 21-6-3 (45 points).
- The Capitals have been outshot by opponents 27 times, and went 16-6-5 (37 points).
Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning have a 5-4-9 record in overtime matchups this season and a 34-20-4 overall record.
- Tampa Bay has earned 17 points (7-7-3) in its 17 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
- This season the Lightning scored just one goal in six games and they finished 0-5-1 in those matchups.
- Tampa Bay has two points (0-8-2) in 10 games this season when it has scored two goals.
- The Lightning have scored at least three goals 41 times, earning 69 points from those matchups (34-6-1).
- Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal in 20 games this season and has registered 28 points from those matchups.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Tampa Bay is 18-12-0 (36 points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 25 times this season, and earned 34 points in those games.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Capitals Rank | Capitals AVG | Lightning AVG | Lightning Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3.63 | Goals Scored | 3.57 | 2nd |
| 4th | 2.56 | Goals Allowed | 2.66 | 6th |
| 23rd | 27.5 | Shots | 28.9 | 12th |
| 11th | 27.5 | Shots Allowed | 28.7 | 18th |
| 9th | 24.1% | Power Play % | 27.16% | 5th |
| 4th | 82.25% | Penalty Kill % | 80.69% | 11th |
Capitals vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Saturday, March 1, 2025 at 12:30 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.
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