Lightning vs. Oilers Prediction & Picks - February 25

The Tampa Bay Lightning (32-20-4) carry a five-game win streak into a home matchup against the Edmonton Oilers (34-19-4), who have lost three in a row, on Tuesday, February 25 at 7:30 PM ET on ESPN+.

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To prepare for this matchup, here's who we project to secure the win in Tuesday's hockey game.

Over the past 10 games, the Oilers are 5-4-1 while putting up 35 total goals (eight power-play goals on 27 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 29.6%). They have conceded 33 goals.

Lightning vs. Oilers Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projections model for this matchup calls for a final score of Lightning 4, Oilers 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-112)
• Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning have a 32-20-4 record overall, with a 5-4-9 record in matchups that have gone to overtime.
• Tampa Bay has 17 points (7-7-3) in the 17 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
• In the six games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they finished 0-5-1.
• Tampa Bay finished 0-8-2 in the 10 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering two points).
• The Lightning are 32-6-1 in the 39 games when they have scored more than two goals (to record 65 points).
• In the 18 games when Tampa Bay has recorded a lone power-play goal, it went 12-6-0 to register 24 points.
• In the 29 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 17-12-0 (34 points).
• The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 24 games. The Lightning finished 14-6-4 in those contests (32 points).

Oilers Splits and Trends

• The Oilers have a 34-19-4 record this season and are 9-4-13 in games that have needed overtime.
• Edmonton has earned 33 points (15-6-3) in its 24 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
• This season the Oilers registered just one goal in four games and they've earned two points (1-3-0) in those contests.
• Edmonton has earned four points (1-4-2 record) this season when scoring a pair of goals .
• The Oilers have scored at least three goals 42 times, earning 66 points from those matchups (32-8-2).
• Edmonton has scored a single power-play goal in 24 games this season and has recorded 32 points from those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Edmonton is 26-12-3 (55 points).
• The Oilers' opponents have had more shots in 12 games. The Oilers went 4-7-1 in those contests (nine points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Oilers Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Tuesday, February 25, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida

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