Lightning vs. Senators Prediction & Picks - February 4

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The Tampa Bay Lightning (27-20-4) host the Ottawa Senators (29-20-4), who have won five straight, on Tuesday, February 4 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+.

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Before watching this matchup, here's a peek at which squad we think will come out on top in Tuesday's action on the ice.

The Senators have gone 7-2-1 in their last 10 games, putting up 28 goals while conceding 21 in that time. On 38 power-play opportunities during that span, they have scored eight goals (21.1%).

Lightning vs. Senators Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer model for this encounter calls for a final result of Lightning 4, Senators 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-184)
  • Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.9 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Senators (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning have a 27-20-4 record overall, with a 5-4-9 record in contests that have gone to overtime.
  • Tampa Bay is 6-7-3 (15 points) in its 16 games decided by one goal.
  • In the six games this season the Lightning recorded only one goal, they finished 0-5-1.
  • Tampa Bay finished 0-8-2 in the 10 games this season when it scored two goals (registering two points).
  • The Lightning have scored more than two goals in 34 games (27-6-1, 55 points).
  • In the 15 games when Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 9-6-0 to record 18 points.
  • In games when it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 15-12-0 (30 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 21 games, going 11-6-4 to record 26 points.

Senators Splits and Trends

  • The Senators have a record of 29-20-4 this season and are 7-4-11 in overtime games.
  • Ottawa has earned 29 points (13-4-3) in its 20 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • This season the Senators scored only one goal in five games and they lost every time.
  • Ottawa has earned nine points (4-7-1 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
  • The Senators have scored more than two goals 30 times, earning 52 points from those matchups (25-3-2).
  • This season, Ottawa has recorded a lone power-play goal in 15 games has a record of 8-5-2 in those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Ottawa is 15-10-1 (31 points).
  • The Senators have been outshot by opponents 24 times this season, and earned 28 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Senators AVG Senators Rank
3rd 3.45 Goals Scored 2.87 19th
10th 2.78 Goals Allowed 2.66 6th
12th 29.2 Shots 29.9 6th
16th 28.4 Shots Allowed 27.3 10th
5th 26.35% Power Play % 23.16% 10th
10th 81.68% Penalty Kill % 78.43% 19th

Lightning vs. Senators Game Time and TV Channel

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