Lightning vs. Ducks Prediction & Picks - January 5

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The Tampa Bay Lightning (20-14-2) go on the road to play the Anaheim Ducks (16-18-4) at Honda Center on Sunday, January 5 at 8:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The Lightning have lost three straight games.

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Here is our pick for who will clinch the win in Sunday's matchup.

Over the last 10 games, the Ducks are 6-4-0 while totaling 29 total goals (two power-play goals on 33 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 6.1%). They have given up 28 goals.

Lightning vs. Ducks Predictions for Sunday

Our computer model for this contest predicts a final result of Lightning 4, Ducks 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-178)
  • Total Pick: Under 7 (computer predicts 6.1 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Ducks (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning have a 20-14-2 record overall, with a 3-2-5 record in contests that have required overtime.
  • Tampa Bay is 4-6-1 (nine points) in its 11 games decided by one goal.
  • In the four games this season the Lightning registered just one goal, they finished 0-3-1.
  • Tampa Bay has lost all six games this season when it scored a pair of goals.
  • The Lightning are 20-5-1 in the 26 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 41 points).
  • In the 11 games when Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal, it has a 7-4-0 record (14 points).
  • In games when it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 11-7-0 (22 points).
  • The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 15 games. The Lightning went 8-5-2 in those matchups (18 points).

Ducks Splits and Trends

  • The Ducks have a record of 16-18-4 this season and are 5-4-9 in overtime matchups.
  • Anaheim has earned 15 points (6-6-3) in its 15 games decided by one goal.
  • This season the Ducks registered only one goal in 11 games and they finished 0-10-1 in those matchups.
  • When Anaheim has scored a pair of goals this season, they've earned four points (1-8-2 record).
  • The Ducks have scored three or more goals in 16 games, earning 31 points from those contests.
  • This season, Anaheim has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in nine games has a record of 4-4-1 in those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Anaheim is 8-7-1 (17 points).
  • The Ducks have been outshot by opponents 21 times this season, and earned 17 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Ducks AVG Ducks Rank
1st 3.78 Goals Scored 2.5 31st
8th 2.78 Goals Allowed 3.05 15th
20th 28 Shots 28.2 17th
14th 28.4 Shots Allowed 31.8 31st
5th 25.93% Power Play % 13.04% 30th
11th 82% Penalty Kill % 74.31% 26th

Lightning vs. Ducks Game Time and TV Channel

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