Lightning vs. Sharks Prediction & Picks - December 5

The Tampa Bay Lightning (12-9-2) host the San Jose Sharks (10-13-5), who have won three straight, on Thursday, December 5 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+.

Here is our pick for who will capture the win in Thursday's matchup.

Over the past 10 contests, the Sharks are 5-3-2 while totaling 38 total goals (seven power-play goals on 32 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 21.9%). They have allowed 29 goals.

Lightning vs. Sharks Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projections model for this game predicts a final result of Lightning 4, Sharks 2.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-276)
Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.6 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning (12-9-2 overall) have a 3-2-5 record in matchups that have required overtime.
In the eight games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 4-3-1 record (good for nine points).
In the one game this season the Lightning scored just one goal, they lost in overtime.
Tampa Bay has lost all four games this season when it scored exactly two goals.
The Lightning are 12-5-1 in the 18 games when they have scored at least three goals (to record 25 points).
In the seven games when Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal, it has a 3-4-0 record (six points).
In the 12 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 6-6-0 (12 points).
The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in nine games. The Lightning finished 5-2-2 in those contests (12 points).

Sharks Splits and Trends

The Sharks have a 10-13-5 record this season and are 4-5-9 in games that have required overtime.
San Jose has earned 13 points (6-4-1) in its 11 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
This season the Sharks recorded just one goal in three games and they've earned two points (1-2-0) in those contests.
San Jose has earned six points (2-7-2 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
The Sharks have scored three or more goals in 13 games, earning 17 points from those contests.
This season, San Jose has recorded a lone power-play goal in 12 games and picked up 11 points with a record of 4-5-3.
When it outshoots its opponent this season, San Jose has posted a record of 4-3-0 (eight points).
The Sharks have been outshot by opponents in 20 games, going 6-9-5 to record 17 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank	Lightning AVG		Sharks AVG	Sharks Rank
2nd	3.74	Goals Scored	2.86	19th
20th	3.13	Goals Allowed	3.32	28th
19th	28.5	Shots	27.7	22nd
15th	28.5	Shots Allowed	32	29th
9th	23.94%	Power Play %	18.39%	21st
21st	77.94%	Penalty Kill %	81.52%	10th

Lightning vs. Sharks Game Time and TV Channel

When: Thursday, December 5, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
Where: Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida