The Tampa Bay Lightning (1-1) host the Philadelphia Flyers (0-1-2, losers of three straight) at Benchmark International Arena. The matchup on Monday, Oct. 5 starts at 7 p.m. ET on NHL Network.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here is a glimpse at which squad we pick to come out on top in Monday's action on the ice.

Flyers vs. Lightning Predictions for Monday

Our computer projection model for this game calls for a final score of Lightning 5, Flyers 0.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-222)
Total Pick: Under 6 (computer predicts 5.3 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning had a 50-26-6 record overall, with a 12-8-20 record in contests that went to overtime, last season.
Tampa Bay picked up 34 points (14-12-6) in the 32 games it played that were decided by one goal.
The 11 times last season the Lightning finished a game with only one goal, they went 3-7-1 (seven points).
Tampa Bay took 14 points from the 21 games last season when it scored exactly two goals (5-12-4 record).
The Lightning scored more than two goals 55 times, and went 45-7-3 in those games (to register 93 points).
In the 30 games when Tampa Bay recorded a lone power-play goal, it registered 38 points by finishing 17-9-4.
In games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay was 30-15-6 (66 points).
The Lightning were outshot by their opponent 36 times, and went 21-13-2 (44 points).

Flyers Splits and Trends

The Flyers posted a record of 17-14-31 in overtime games last season to contribute to an overall mark of 43-27-12.
Philadelphia picked up 28 points (9-6-10) in its 25 games decided by one goal.
Across the 15 games last season the Flyers ended up with just one goal, they picked up six points.
Philadelphia picked up 22 points (8-10-6 record) last season when scoring two goals .
The Flyers scored at least three goals in 49 games, earning 80 points from those contests.
Philadelphia scored a single power-play goal in 26 games last season and recorded 34 points.
When it outshot its opponent last season, Philadelphia posted a record of 18-15-3 (39 points).
The Flyers were outshot by their opponents in 51 games last season, going 27-15-9 to register 63 points.

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Team Stats Comparison (2025-26)